METHOD OF LOGIC-PROBABILISTIC VALUATION OF RISK
IN BANK, BUSINESS AND INSURANCE
We have developed together with German experts the new effective technique of logic-probabilistic numerical valuation of credit risk of consumer and company.
The technique is approved on the package of 1000 credits. The technique has higher accuracy than that known of Western techniques. Share of faulty decisions in valuation of good and bad credits is 18 % instead of 28 % by existing techniques.
The technique permits to distinguish "good" and "bad" credits by 35 % more accurately, to essentially reduce the losses of the bank, to lower the price for the credit, to increase competitiveness of the bank, to attract more customers.
We want to co-operate on applying and developing new effective technique of calculation of risks in bank, business and insurance .
Professor,
Head of Intelligent Systems Laboratory
IPMASH RAS E.Solojentsev
Tel.: (812) 217-31-24; Fax: (812) 217-86-14; E_mail: sol@sapr.ipme.ru